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Orissa Disaster Mitigitation Programme/
India 2000
 

Chapter 1 - summary
Risk reduction: challenges and opportunities

Risk reduction – why it is needed, how best to go about it, and the challenges we face in achieving it – is the theme of this year’s report. Much attention has been paid to “complex political emergencies” over the past decade, so in this chapter we concentrate on what are often (erroneously) called “natural” disasters.

Between the 1970s and 1990s, deaths from natural disasters fell from 2 million to under 800,000. But the numbers affected tripled to 2 billion. Economic losses multiplied five times, to US$ 629 billion in the 1990s. Disasters devastate the development of poorer nations. Hurricane Mitch, for example, put Honduras’s economic development back 20 years. Landslides in 1999 cost Venezuela US$ 10 billion – 10 per cent of gross domestic product.

Conversely, flawed development (e.g., rapid unplanned urbanization, deforestation) is exposing more people to disasters. Even the better-off are at risk. Turkey’s earthquake fatalities in 1999 were victims of ineffective building codes, not poverty. And landslides in San Salvador in January 2001 swept away poorly sited middle-class housing.

Risk-blind development is one factor in increasing vulnerability. Another is the absence of effective disaster preparedness and mitigation measures (e.g., flood-proof dykes, early warning systems, evacuation routes, shelters, relief stockpiles, disaster response teams, public awareness). Below are some of the barriers to more effective risk reduction:

  • Geopolitics: conflicts of the 1990s dominated the humanitarian agenda, pushing aside the problem of vulnerability to natural hazards.
  • No coherent risk reduction “community”: professionals trying to mitigate disaster impacts are fragmented along institutional boundaries.
  • Risk reduction is seen as a separate sector, when it should be mainstreamed into development and humanitarian programming. As a result, risk reduction concerns are marginalized or forgotten.
  • Risk reduction is viewed as a technical problem with technical solutions. But the underlying factors that compel people to live in insecure conditions are rarely addressed.
  • Lack of resources: donors dedicate far fewer resources to risk reduction than to relief. the European Community’s Humanitarian Office (ECHO), for example, spent just 1.5 per cent of its aid budget on disaster preparedness last year.
  • Invisibility of risk reduction spending: development programmes may include mitigation, but it is rarely reported in donor accounts.

What works in reducing risk, what doesn’t and why? Monitoring tends to be short-term and focuses on outputs rather than impacts. But there are many documented success stories which prove that mitigation and preparedness pay:

  • During the 1990s, 140,000 Bangladeshis were killed by cyclones. But the Cyclone Preparedness Programme evacuated and sheltered 2.5 million more people before the cyclones struck – almost certainly saving their lives.
  • Rainwater harvesting has helped 20,000 Indian villages to grow crops and maintain domestic water supplies.
  • When floods struck Viet Nam in 1999, only one out of 2,450 flood-resistant homes, built by the Red Cross, collapsed.
But the picture is patchy. Initiatives are poorly documented. Policy-makers lack adequate information. Case studies demonstrating the benefits of mitigation and preparedness are needed. More international and regional commitment is needed. Disasters are complex problems which demand complex responses. Since risk reduction goes to the heart of the development process, the challenge is well beyond the capacity of disaster managers alone. It requires cooperation between development agencies, governments, non-governmental organizations (NGOs), businesses, scientists and vulnerable communities. According to the secretary-general of the United Nations, Kofi Annan, “We know what has to be done. What is now required is the political commitment to do it”.

Despite international initiatives, the front line against disasters is held by at-risk communities, which offer valuable lessons in disaster mitigation and preparedness. On the silt islands of Bangladesh’s Jamuna River, for example, a local reed is used to stabilize new silt deposits and make them fit for cultivation. The agricultural calendar and crop varieties are planned around the annual flood cycle. Marriage partners are sought on other islands to provide an escape route for relatives affected by floods.

Community-based approaches to disaster mitigation lead to more accurate definition of problems and solutions, because they draw on local expertise in living with disasters. They can deploy low-cost, appropriate technologies effectively. They are more likely to be sustainable because they are “owned” by the community and build up local capacity.

However, the main weakness of community-based initiatives is their limited outreach. Scaling up to achieve greater impact needs the participation of government. Yet the state and its apparatus are often seen as part of the problem.

National disaster plans may mention mitigation and preparedness, but lack detail and dedicated resources. Social and macroeconomic pressures can undermine authorities’ capacity to reduce risks. Cash-strapped central governments may simply abdicate their responsibilities, leaving disaster management to local government and NGOs, even though they lack the skills and resources to do so.

Cuba’s success in saving lives gives us a model of effective government-driven disaster preparedness – what was the secret of its success? Geographer Ben Wisner suggests “one cannot ‘fix’ disaster risk with technology alone. It is also a matter of enacting and enforcing laws, building and maintaining institutions that are accountable, and producing an environment of mutual respect and trust between government and the population”.

Innovative approaches to risk reduction offer considerable potential. One of the most exciting is the “sustainable livelihoods” perspective, which analyses the range of vulnerabilities poor communities face and the assets to which they have access. A valuable new field tool to assess communities’ disaster resilience and mobilize risk reduction is provided by the International Federation’s vulnerability and capacity analysis (VCA).

Disaster insurance innovations include making policies conditional upon implementing building and zoning codes. And under new weather index-based insurance, automatic payouts are made within 72 hours of pre-determined trigger events (e.g., high winds, low rains).

The idea of a right to safety from disasters is gaining ground – a concept likely to be challenged by governments and businesses, which fear it would increase their own liability. But it could strengthen accountability between vulnerable people and those supposed to help them.

Threats that natural hazards pose to society and development are massive. Yet disaster mitigation and preparedness pay – in human, economic and environmental terms. Three ideas could radically reform the way we deal with risk:
  • Relocate disasters within the wider context of risk reduction: risk reduction is relevant to all those working in hazardous regions, whether in relief, development, business, civil society or government. It is not exclusive to big disasters, but can be applied to recurrent, smaller hazards that undermine vulnerable households.
  • Long-term partnerships based on good governance across many sectors and disciplines provide the best basis for tackling the threats posed by disasters. Viewing disasters in this way steers us away from the “technical fix” towards more people-centred strategies.
  • Setting targets for risk reduction would concentrate political will and resources. Targets could be set by governments, communities, NGOs and donors, to include: reducing numbers killed and affected by disasters; implementing disaster plans; training response teams; establishing early warning and evacuation systems; protecting essential infrastructure; reversing environmental degradation; devoting a percentage of relief funds to disaster mitigation and preparedness.

Shelters save lives and livelihoods

For two years, southern Sri Lanka has suffered the worst drought in half a century. Crops have failed for five consecutive seasons. Livestock has died, water in wells has dropped dangerously low, children are malnourished and school attendance has fallen. An estimated 1.6 million people have been affected.

The drought-stricken community of Muthukandiya approached a local NGO about the problem. What followed was a mitigation initiative, based on low-cost “rainwater harvesting” technology, which uses tanks to collect rain channelled by gutters and pipes as it runs off the roofs of houses.

Villagers participated throughout the planning process. Two local masons received on-the-job training in building the 5,000-litre household storage tanks. Each system cost US$ 195, equivalent to a month’s family income. Half the cost was provided by the community, in the form of materials and unskilled labour. The NGO contributed the rest. Households learned how to maintain the tanks, and the whole community was trained to keep domestic water supplies clean. A village rainwater harvesting society was set up to run the project.

Evaluations clearly show that the 37 households with storage tanks have considerably more water for domestic needs than households relying on wells and ponds – and up to twice as much during the driest months. Their water is much cleaner, too.

Nandawathie, a widow in the village, has made the most of the opportunity. With a water supply nearby, she began growing vegetables. She sold these and opened a small shop. This increased her earnings, so she applied for a loan to install solar power. She feels safer now that she no longer has to fetch water from the well at dawn and dusk. Her children no longer suffer from diarrhoea. And her daughter has more time for school work.


Principal contributors to Chapter 1 were John Twigg (Honorary Research Fellow, Benfield Greig Hazard Research Centre, University College London) and Charlotte Benson, an economist specialized in the economic aspects of natural disasters. John Twigg and Madhavi Ariyabandu (Intermediate Technology Development Group, South Asia) contributed to the box.





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