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Mongolia faces harsh winter after summer of drought
10 October 2007
Francis Markus of the International Federation in Darkhan, Mongolia
It won't be for lack of hard work if the 11 men camped in a field in northern Mongolia, toiling from morning to sundown, cut less hay this year than they did last year. Last year they cut even less than the year before.

The problem is that, according to government figures, at least 70 per cent of the country has been suffering from drought this summer. That has dramatically reduced the amount of hay these workers, all unemployed men involved in a Red Cross project, can harvest. Mongolia's most vulnerable herders will suffer—the hay was destined to feed their animals through the harsh winter months to come.

Similar projects nationwide are having the same or worse difficulties than this one, which is located some 200 kilometres north of the capital Ulaanbaatar.

Moreover, according to the country's National Emergency Management Agency (NEMA), the drought suggests that the winter and spring months could bring harsh weather – making the hay more needed than ever for the country's 36 million herding animals, which vastly outnumber the human population of 2.5 million.

The combination of extreme cold and lack of snow is known in Mongolian as "black dzud" – when the hay will be more needed than ever.

That has occurred several times in the last few years, leaving millions of animals dead and thousands of rural families without any means of earning income. By contrast, a "white dzud" is when the country is blanketed in excessive snow, leaving livestock freezing to death and unable to move to where there is food.

“By the time winter weather halts their work, the men are only expected to have harvested about 75 tonnes of hay, against a projected figure of 100 tonnes,” says Otgonbayar, Secretary of the Mongolian Red Cross Society (MRCS) branch in Darkhan city. The Darkhan branch is responsible for this project area, some 70 kilometres distant by mostly unpaved road.

In contrast, when the project started in 2005 the fields yielded 240 tonnes. Last year only 150.

"If I can't get enough hay for my animals, I might have to sell some sheep and cattle this winter," said Togtuur, a 54-year-old widow with four children, whose family is one of those receiving free hay from the Red Cross project.

She is well-placed to understand the perilous turns of Mongolia's climate these last few years. When dramatic floods struck the area in 2004, her family lost their ger, or traditional felt tent and all their possessions and her husband fell sick and died. With support from the Red Cross and the U.S. Embassy, she now has a new ger and has been able to rebuild her livelihood. One of her sons, Enkhbaatar, has worked on the hay project.

Under the project, which is funded by the Finnish and Norwegian Red Cross societies through the International Federation, some 60 per cent of the hay is distributed free to families with fewer than 50 animals.

Another 20 per cent is sold at a substantial discount to those with between 50 and 70 livestock. The remaining 20 per cent sold on the open market to raise money for next year’s project.

The shortage of hay looks certain to be replicated at a national level.

“Only ten out of the country's 17 provinces are producing any hay at all and the total production is certain to be significantly down on 2006 levels,” lamented Enkhbold Bold-Erdene, who is the MRCS Disaster Preparedness and Relief Programme Officer.

Even more worryingly, the national government's disaster preparedness stocks are feeling the shortage too. The Agriculture Ministry recently announced that only 48 per cent of the projected amount of hay had so far been stockpiled.

Time is running short, before winter sets in, although the critical period for Mongolia's herders and their animals to survive may not come until next spring.

MRCS Secretary General Ravdan Samdandobji said he had already had many meetings with anxious herders about how to prepare for the coming months.

"Usually the international emergency assistance comes quite late, when the situation is already worsening" and many people cannot survive economically, explained Samdandobji.

The time to act is now, before winter’s "black dzud" takes its toll. Vulnerable families are moving to areas where there is more hay. MRCS branches in some provinces have been encouraging wealthier herders, who have hundreds of animals, to lend some to the poorer families, who then keep some of the lambs or calves.

The International Federation and partner Red Cross societies are supporting the Mongolian Red Cross to bolster its capacity at seven Regional Disaster Response Centres. Over the next three years, these strategically located centres will be able to respond more quickly and effectively than ever before to disasters to support Mongolia's most vulnerable communities.
Togtuur, a 54-year-old widow, is one of those receiving free hay from the Darkhan project. The family lost their ger or felt tent and all their possessions in dramatic flooding in 2004 and her husband fell ill and died, leaving her alone with four children. Red Cross and U.S. Embassy aid helped provide a new ger and get back on her feet again. (Francis Markus/IFRC) (p16570)
Togtuur, a 54-year-old widow, is one of those receiving free hay from the Darkhan project. The family lost their ger or felt tent and all their possessions in dramatic flooding in 2004 and her husband fell ill and died, leaving her alone with four children. Red Cross and U.S. Embassy aid helped provide a new ger and get back on her feet again. (Francis Markus/IFRC) (p16570)
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Workers on the Red Cross hay project some 70 kilometers from Mongolia's second city Darkhan. This and other similar projects throughout the country not only provide free and discounted hay for vulnerable families, they also provide jobs for local unemployed people. (Francis Markus/IFRC) (p16571)
Workers on the Red Cross hay project some 70 kilometers from Mongolia's second city Darkhan. This and other similar projects throughout the country not only provide free and discounted hay for vulnerable families, they also provide jobs for local unemployed people. (Francis Markus/IFRC) (p16571)
A truck carrying hay to Darkhan city from the Red Cross project some 70 km away. The trailers are being reloaded because they were stacked late at night and the bales are in danger of toppling. (Francis Markus/IFRC) (p16573)
A truck carrying hay to Darkhan city from the Red Cross project some 70 km away. The trailers are being reloaded because they were stacked late at night and the bales are in danger of toppling. (Francis Markus/IFRC) (p16573)
A herder and his animals along the road from Ulaanbaatar to Darkhan, some 200 kilometers to the north. The country's 36 million sheep, goats and cattle vastly outnumber a human population of 2.5 million people and provide the main source of income for many Mongolians. (Francis Markus/IFRC) (p16574)
A herder and his animals along the road from Ulaanbaatar to Darkhan, some 200 kilometers to the north. The country's 36 million sheep, goats and cattle vastly outnumber a human population of 2.5 million people and provide the main source of income for many Mongolians. (Francis Markus/IFRC) (p16574)
Mongolian Red Cross Society Secretary General Ravdan Samdandobji, dressed in the traditional Mongolian del. Mr. Samdandobji has had many meetings with worried herders about how to prepare for the winter ahead and urges the international community to step in with timely help before the situation worsens. (Francis Markus/IFRC) (p16575)
Mongolian Red Cross Society Secretary General Ravdan Samdandobji, dressed in the traditional Mongolian del. Mr. Samdandobji has had many meetings with worried herders about how to prepare for the winter ahead and urges the international community to step in with timely help before the situation worsens. (Francis Markus/IFRC) (p16575)