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Review
The Times Higher Education Supplement
Friday May 11, 2001
Chronicle of crises
that's soft and noisy
Helen Young
World Disasters Report 2001, International Federation of Red Cross
and Red Crescent Societies,
Disasters - at least natural disasters
- are inevitable, but deaths from disasters are not. To minimise their
impact, to predict or even to prevent them, is the challenge for disaster
relief. Disasters have a powerful and growing effect on the world,
in part as a result of climate change, yet most of us have little
or no comprehension of their nature and scale and the degree of suffering
they inflict.
Media coverage tends to favour whatever grabs the public imagination.
"Pants to poverty" paid off for Comic Relief, while in disasters
"if it bleeds, it leads". The World Disasters Report, by
contrast, presents a more sober and long-lasting analysis of disasters
and international response. Eight annual reports, starting in 1993,
provide a unique source of reference from the authoritative perspective
of the International Federation of Red Cross and Red Crescent Societies.
The IFRC together with the International Committee of the Red Cross
form the Red Cross movement. The ICRC has an exclusively humanitarian
mission to protect the lives and dignity of victims of war and internal
conflict and to provide them with assistance, which is regulated by
international humanitarian law. There is no similar body of law to
alleviate the effects of natural and technological disasters. Relief
is primarily the responsibility of the government of the country concerned,
which may be supported by the international relief system.
As a mouthpiece of the world's largest humanitarian organisation,
the WDR has a vital role in bridging the gap between the international
and local level and in closing the academic and operational divide.
It has the potential to become a true expression of the adage: think
globally, act locally.
The reports combine a wealth of facts and figures on disasters with
an analysis of trends and updates on new developments and initiatives
in humanitarian assistance and disaster response. Most reports follow
a set format. The first section covers current issues; the second
reviews the past year in disasters; and the third contains tables
giving a global overview of the number of disasters and the number
of people killed or affected - by continent and by phenomenon. The
statistics come principally from the Centre for Research on the Epidemiology
of Disasters at the University of Louvain, Belgium, and from the US
Committee for Refugees.
On the topic of disasters and related issues, the reports are an essential
reference for university libraries and an excellent source for students.
Learning and advocacy are their chief functions: anyone involved professionally
in speaking on the subject of disasters will find the WDR invaluable.
For those directly involved in disaster relief, the reports are an
excellent starting point for considering key issues and a muchneeded
single source of statistics on disasters. Relief workers will need
to look elsewhere for more in-depth analyses, which are referred to
in the reports.
A broad definition of disaster is adopted, including natural hazards,
technological disasters and conflict-related crises. The WDR also
covers, for example, the social, economic and human cost of HIV/Aids,
the widespread use of anti-personnel mines, the psychological impact
of terrorist bombings and the toll of traffic accidents. The reports
also document how focus shifted in the 1990s from the south to the
north as a result of the wars in former Yugoslavia. A departure in
the report for 2000 is that it has a sectoral focus - it examines
public-health spending, its demise and the consequences of this for
disaster-affected regions.
The facts and figures show the massive and increasing scale of disasters.
Some 250 million to 300 million people are affected annually, most
of them in Asia. In 1991 and 1998, for example, Chinese flood victims
accounted for more than half of the global total.
As to reliability, "soft and noisy" is how the reports describe
their data. They are best used to understand the relative scale of
things, such as an order-of-magnitude difference between two disasters
in different countries, and to provide evidence of trends over time.
Although extremely useful, the data are socially and politically constructed
and should be treated with caution. As the reports state, most sources
have a vested interest in the numbers reported. A host government,
a western donor, a refugee representative body and a United Nations
organisation will have different takes on the same disaster. In Sudan
in 1998, the Sudan Relief and Rehabilitation Association reported
2.37 million disaster-affected people, but the UN's World Food Programme
and Food and Agriculture Organisation estimated just under 1 million.
Tragically, the SRRA estimate was nearer the truth.
Although the reports are open about the questionable quality of some
data sources, a browsing student might not realise this. In 1999,
the reports decided to drop data on famines for lack of reliable
figures and lack of a widely shared definition of famine: there is
no clear cut-off between "drought affected" and "famine".
The fatalities for each type of disaster, as opposed to the numbers
adversely affected, are of crucial importance. Mortality rates are
the most effective weapon for advocates of an international response.
But even here, rough estimates can be difficult to obtain. In the
1997 WDR, the explanations of how mortality should be monitored fail
to convey the reality of data collection in emergencies and make it
sound too simple.
Surveying all eight reports, one finds important recurring themes,
only a few of which can be mentioned. First is the need for relief
workers to defend the impartiality and humanity of their work against
increasing politicisation of aid. International non~ governmental
organisations are under pressure to act as the agents of donor policy,
as more humanitarian aid is channelled through NG0s than before. At
the same time, disaster relief frequently has to compensate for government
failures to provide public services.
The variable quality of the humanitarian response in Somalia in 1992,
in Rwanda in 1994 and in Sudan in 1998 - and the bad press this gave
rise to - undermined the confidence of NG0s and generated moves to
professionalise humanitarian assistance. There were seen to be too
many aid agencies and too little coordination between them. In Kosovo
in 1999, more than 400 agencies converged on Pristina intent on getting
a piece of the action, in what the WDR aptly terms Kosovo's "humanitarian
Klondike".
The reports chronicle various international initiatives for improving
assistance. The first and most widely supported is the Code of Conduct
for the International Red Cross and Red Crescent Movement and NG0s
in Disaster Response, a ten-point code establishing universal basic
standards of independence, effectiveness and impact. More than 200
voluntary organisations have signed up. There is also the Sphere project,
which has developed a set of "common minimal performance standards"
and a charter. The WDR for 2000 suggests that Sphere's minimum standards
might some day become international law.
Another recurring theme is the importance of understanding what makes
people vulnerable to disasters. Vulnerability is analysed in relation
to food insecurity, political marginalisation and the misuse of power
and extreme climatic events. It is also linked to human rights, as
"there is a close correlation between disaster vulnerability
and people's ability to claim their basic human rights".
A missed opportunity is the small reference to the UN's International
Decade for Natural Disaster Reduction. Its goal was to protect people
and property from the worst effects of natural hazards and to foster
high level commitments and partnerships between memebr states and
the UN organisations. Less than a page of the special report focusing
on natural disasters (199) is dedicated to the IDNDR. If its coverage
is anything to go by, it appears that the non-governmnetalsector and
the Red Cross movement were not particularly engaged in the IDNDR.
Public knowledge seems equally limited; although natural disasters
were spleashed over the front pages of newspapers in 1999, there was
next to no mention of the concluding efforts of the IDNDR.
In contrast, the Red Cross movement remains centre stage in disaster
response. Perhaps more could be made of the opportunity for local
Red Cross experience to inform global opinions- particularly as some
of the international initatives described above have yet to prove
themselves. Wider ownership of the WDR within the Red Cross would
make it more influential among national societies and disaster-relief
practitioners. Nevertheless, the reports combine global prespectives
on issues and trends with analyses on local emergencies, and they
will remain a primary reference source on the subject of disasters.
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